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Williams Institute Military Issues Studies

 

Testimony on "Don't Ask, Don't Tell"

By Gary J. Gates

July 2008

 

In this memo, submitted to a congressional subcommittee, Williams Institute Senior Research Fellow Gary Gates finds that an estimated 65,000 lesbian, gay, and bisexual (LGB) people are currently serving in the U.S. Armed Forces; in the absence of "Don't Ask/Don't Tell" (DADT), an additional 41,000 gay and bisexual men might eventually join the military; and the military could expect an additional 3,000 personnel to retain their positions each year if they could serve openly and not be subject to DADT restrictions.

 

Effects of “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” on Retention among Lesbian, Gay, and Bisexual Military Personnel

By Gary J. Gates
March 2007

This research brief quantifies how the United States military’s “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” (DADT) policy affects retention rates among lesbian, gay, and bisexual military personnel. If the “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” policy had not been instituted, an estimated 4,000 lesbian, gay, and bisexual military personnel would have been retained each year since 1994.  The military intends to add more than 18,000 new troops each year for the next five years.  If patterns observed in 2004 were to continue for the next five years, the estimated retained LGB personnel would account for nearly one in six of the additional troops required.

Effects of “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” on Retention among Lesbian, Gay, and Bisexual Military Personnel (PDF)
Lesbians and gay men in the U.S. military: estimates from Census 2000
By Gary J. Gates, PhD.
October, 2005

Very little is known about the extent to which gay men and lesbians choose to serve their country through military service. This lack of knowledge contrasts with intense policy debates about the compatibility between homosexuality and service in the United States armed forces. Bayesian inference techniques applied to data from Census 2000 that enumerates characteristics of same-sex “unmarried partners” provide a mechanism for estimating the size of the gay and lesbian population currently serving in the military and exploring historical gay and lesbian military service patterns. Analyses suggest that rates of gay men and lesbians in current military service range from 1.32 to 3.78 percent, implying that at least 30,446 gay men and lesbians and as many as 87,202 are currently in uniform. The findings also show that gay men and, to an ever greater degree, lesbians have served in relatively large portions in all of the major military conflicts of the later 20th century.

Lesbians and gay men in the U.S. military: estimates from Census 2000