Williams Institute Research on Impact of Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual Voters on Gubernatorial Elections in Multiple States Featured in Hartford Courant

December 5, 2014 -- Williams Institute research by Andrew Flores and Gary Gates was discussed in a Hartford Courant article. The study examined the impact of gay, lesbian and bisexual voters on gubernatorial elections and determined that the victory for Connecticut Gov. Dan Malloy was heavily influenced by their participation.

The Williams Institute analyzed several races across the country to determine the role gay, lesbian and bisexual voters played. The Williams Institute on Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity Law and Public Policy is a think tank based at the UCLA School of Law.

The study cites national exit polls showing that voters identifying themselves as gay, lesbian or bisexual made up 4 percent of the electorate, the highest percentage in a midterm cycle since 1998. That same exit polling data indicated that 75 percent of gay, lesbian and bisexual voters backed Democratic candidates.

The study notes that the data was compiled from national exit polls; state-level data is not available. To assess the impact of gay voters on state races, the study's authors, Andrew R. Flores and Gary J. Gates, looked at close races where the margin of victory for a Democratic candidate was less than the estimated percentage of gay, lesbian and bisexual voters.

In addition to Connecticut, the study cited close gubernatorial contests in Colorado and Vermont, where gay voters may have helped Democrats to eek out victories.

"In Connecticut, Democratic incumbent Gov. Dan Malloy won the election over Republican challenger Tom Foley by a thin, 2.8 percent margin,'' the study said. "Without the LGB vote, analysis suggests that the margin of victory for the Democratic incumbent would have narrowed to just .3 percent."

Read the article.